Utah vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Pac-12 Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2022, 12:46 PM
  • USC (11-1) are -3 point favorites vs Utah (9-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 67 points
  • Watch the Pac-12 Championship game on FOX

The Utah Utes (10-3) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the USC Trojans (11-2) on Dec. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Las Vegas.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Utah vs. USC Over/Under is total points.

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Utah vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Pac-12 Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah
USC

Utah vs USC Prediction, Pac-12 Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 53.7% confidence.

Utah vs USC Spread Prediction, Pac-12 Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Travis Dye has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Travis Dye has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jordan Addison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 4.33% ROI
  • Utah is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Utah is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • USC is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 17.42% ROI
  • USC is 9-2 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI
  • USC is 2-9 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. USC

#12 Utah is 12-6 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .389

#12 Utah is 7-4 (.636) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#12 Utah is 14-5 (.609) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .442

#12 Utah is 12-5 (.706) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

#4 USC is 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .516

#4 USC is undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

#4 USC is 9-1 (.900) when passing for more than 200 yards — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .484

#4 USC is 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .508

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. USC

USC’s offense has thrown for 7,271 passing yards in 23 games (316.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 231.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s offense has thrown for 3,691 passing yards in 11 games (335.5 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,852 passing yards in 11 games (350.2 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has gained 2,441 yards on 198 receptions (12.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has averaged 11.9 targets per game this season — highest among P5 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 96 receptions in 11 games (8.7 per game) this season — best among P5 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 Utah TEs have averaged 8.7 receptions per game (96/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

#12 Utah TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (276/25) since last season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

#12 Utah TEs have caught 14 touchdown passes this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Utah TEs have averaged 7.9 receptions per game (198/25) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

#12 Utah TEs have averaged 7.9 receptions per game (198/25) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC’s offense has thrown for 7,271 passing yards in 23 games (316.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 231.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

#4 USC QBs have 17 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

USC’s offense has thrown for 3,691 passing yards in 11 games (335.5 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,852 passing yards in 11 games (350.2 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

#4 USC Skill Players have 61 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#12 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4

#12 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12%.

#12 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

#12 Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 22% (2 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 61%

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#4 USC has allowed 41.5 receiving yards per game (954/23) to RBs since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

#4 USC has allowed 48.3 receiving yards per game (531/11) to RBs this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 25.8

#4 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 40 of 173 carries (23%) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

#4 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 40 of 173 carries (23%) on 1st down this season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

#4 USC has allowed 10 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.