UTEP vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

min read
Arizona coach Jedd Fisch runs to call for a timeout during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022, in Tucson, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
(AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:16 AM
  • Arizona is a -17.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
  • Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • Watch the game on Pac-12 Network

The UTEP Miners visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT in Tucson.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The UTEP vs. Arizona Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

Bet now on Arizona vs UTEP & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UTEP vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP+18.5 -11057.5 -110+600
Arizona -18.5 -11057.5 -110-900

UTEP vs Arizona Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 89.5% confidence.

UTEP vs Arizona Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Arizona, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Arizona vs UTEP and all games with BetMGM


  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.30 Units / 98% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden de Laura has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jacob Cowing has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Michael Wiley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jayden de Laura has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tanner McLachlan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • UTEP is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -25% ROI
  • UTEP is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • UTEP is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Arizona is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Arizona is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

UTEP is winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457

UTEP is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

UTEP was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

UTEP is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

Arizona is 1-12 (.077) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

Arizona is 1-16 (.050) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .406

Arizona is winless (0-7) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .407

Arizona is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Arizona

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 647 passing yards in 2 games (323.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 632 passing yards in 2 games (316.0 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has gained 3,265 yards on 221 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 25th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s offense has thrown for 517 passing yards in 3 games (just 172.3 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

UTEP’s offense has thrown for 517 passing yards in 3 games (just 172.3 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s QBs has thrown for 557 passing yards in 3 games (just 185.7 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP’s offense has thrown for 517 passing yards in 3 games (just 172.3 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

UTEP’s offense has thrown for 517 passing yards in 3 games (just 172.3 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s QBs has thrown for 557 passing yards in 3 games (just 185.7 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 182.0 passing yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP RBs picked up first downs on 39 receptions in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

UTEP RBs have rushed for 134 yards in the 1st quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona RBs averaged 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd down in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 647 passing yards in 2 games (323.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 632 passing yards in 2 games (316.0 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 180.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has gained 3,265 yards on 221 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 25th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has 5 receptions in 2 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 13.7 receptions per game this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (23 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (23 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (16 completions/43 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP allowed a passer rating of 230.2 in the Red Zone (30.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (9 completions/30 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Arizona intercepted 4 of 375 attempts (93.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 38.3

Arizona has no interceptions (95 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.2

Arizona has intercepted 8 of 731 attempts (91.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Arizona has allowed 6.6 touchdowns per interception (53 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 1.9


Bet now on Arizona vs UTEP and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.