UTEP vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:41 PM
  • Colorado St is a -9.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
  • UTEP vs. Colorado State Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: truTV

The UTEP Miners (0-3) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (1-2) on Sep. 21 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.

Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The UTEP vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado St vs UTEP & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UTEP vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP+9.5 -11050.5 -115+270
Colorado State -9.5 -11050.5 -105-350

UTEP vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTEP vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Colorado St vs UTEP and all games with BetMGM


  • UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today

  • Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • UTEP is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTEP is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Colorado State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

UTEP is 2-7 (.167) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .414

UTEP is 2-10 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

UTEP is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .325

UTEP is 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

Colorado State is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .386

Colorado State is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .453

Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 89 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 4,069 passing yards in 15 games (271.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 189.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 6.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP has gained 3,299 yards on 241 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP has just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP RBs have been targeted 12.7 times per game (38/3) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

UTEP RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

UTEP Skill Players have averaged 27.5 yards per reception (55 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.5

UTEP RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions on 3rd down this season– T-most among FBS Teams

UTEP RBs have been targeted 15 times on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 52 receptions this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 89 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 4,069 passing yards in 15 games (271.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 189.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 6.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State TEs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

UTEP has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

UTEP has no interceptions (72 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

UTEP has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-3rd-most in FBS

UTEP has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has allowed 7 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Colorado State has allowed 7 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (351 completions/493 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State has allowed 10 TD passes this season– T-most in FBS

Colorado State has averaged a sack every 52.5 pass attempts (105 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.