- The New Mexico Lobos are a -22 point favorite vs. the UTEP Miners
- UTEP vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: MW+
UTEP (1-3) visit Dreamstyle Stadium to take on New Mexico (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.
The New Mexico Lobos are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -22 (-120).
The UTEP vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on New Mexico Lobos vs UTEP Miners & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UTEP vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +22 -110 | 49.5 -120 | +1200 |
| New Mexico | -22 -120 | 49.5 -108 | -2000 |
UTEP vs New Mexico Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UTEP Miners and the New Mexico Lobos, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on New Mexico Lobos vs UTEP Miners and all games with BetMGM
UTEP Best Bets Today
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 6 away games (+6.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets Today
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP Miners is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- UTEP is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- UTEP is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- UTEP is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico Lobos is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- New Mexico is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.85% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.52% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.18 Units / -4.11% ROI
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
UTEP is winless (0-8) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .437
UTEP is winless (0-12) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
UTEP is winless (0-8) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .497
UTEP is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .339
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
New Mexico is 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .626
New Mexico is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .639
New Mexico is 12-3 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
New Mexico is 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. New Mexico
New Mexico’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 350 attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 8.6 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs gained 636 yards on 55 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 8.6 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs gained 186 yards on 31 receptions (just 6.0 YPR) last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 5.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs gained 186 yards on 31 receptions (just 6.0 YPR) last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (111/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTEP have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (16/79) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%
UTEP TEs have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (219 yards/11 catches) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
UTEP RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP have thrown 0 TDs on 27 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.6
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico have averaged 22.2 yards per completion (133 yards/6 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.1
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (128 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
New Mexico rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
New Mexico have averaged just 3.0 yards per completion (6 yards/2 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
New Mexico have been sacked on 80% of pass attempts (4/5) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 8%
UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 39 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
UTEP has sacked opposing QBs just once on 69 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 96 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
New Mexico has allowed one rushing TD on 123 carries this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.6
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
New Mexico averaged a sack every 35.9 pass attempts (395 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.1
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