UTEP vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Northwestern running back Cam Porter (4) runs with the ball against Duke during the first half of an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Evanston, Ill. (AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • UTEP is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The UTEP Miners visit Ryan Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Evanston.

UTEP is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The UTEP vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

Bet now on Northwestern vs UTEP & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UTEP vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP-1.5 -11038.5 -110-125
Northwestern +1.5 -11038.5 -110+105

UTEP vs Northwestern Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 51.9% confidence.

UTEP vs Northwestern Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Hilinski has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ryan Hilinski has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.30 Units / 98% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+5.75 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UTEP is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -6.02% ROI
  • UTEP is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • UTEP is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Northwestern is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Northwestern is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

UTEP is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

UTEP was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

UTEP is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

Northwestern is 2-18 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

Northwestern is winless (0-12) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .353

Northwestern is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Northwestern is 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Northwestern

Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 4,651 passing yards in 24 games (just 193.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 221.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s TEs had 27 receptions in 11 games (just 2.5 per game) in the 2022 season — tied for worst among Big Ten TEs. UTEP’s defense allowed just 15.0 receptions per game in the 2022 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 4,984 passing yards in 24 games (just 207.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 221.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s WRs has gained 4,353 yards on 298 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s WRs has gained 4,353 yards on 298 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP had just 192.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 29th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 183.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP’s WRs has gained 4,353 yards on 298 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP RBs have rushed for 452 yards this season– most among FBS Teams

UTEP’s WRs has gained 4,353 yards on 298 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP had just 192.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 29th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 183.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (101/11) in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.7 receptions (101 Rec/3 TDs) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.5 receptions (18 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 4,651 passing yards in 24 games (just 193.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 221.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (189 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2022 season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Northwestern’s TEs had 27 receptions in 11 games (just 2.5 per game) in the 2022 season — tied for worst among Big Ten TEs. UTEP’s defense allowed just 15.0 receptions per game in the 2022 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (16 completions/43 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (49 completions/110 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (9 completions/30 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (49 completions/110 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (24 completions/71 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (11 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (14 completions/35 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Northwestern has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 27%

Northwestern’s opponents attempted just 25.0 passes per game in the 2022 season– lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 32.4

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (11 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.