UTEP vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:00 AM
  • UTSA (9-2) are -17 point favorites vs UTEP (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • Watch the game on STADIUM

The UTEP Miners (5-7) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (10-2) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in San Antonio.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The UTEP vs. UTSA Over/Under is total points.

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UTEP vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP
UTSA

UTEP vs UTSA Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 75.0% confidence.

UTEP vs UTSA Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 74.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 99% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTEP is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 22.76% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
  • UTEP is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 23.72% ROI
  • UTSA is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UTSA is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

UTSA is 12-3 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .421

UTSA is 16-2 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .547

UTSA is 9-1 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .494

UTSA is 11-2 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .444

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP RBs have been targeted 9.6 times per game (96/10) — 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

UTEP RBs have been targeted 5.2 times per game (52/10) in the 1st half this season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.3

UTEP RBs have picked up first downs on 35 receptions this season– most among FBS Teams

UTEP RBs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

UTEP RBs have been targeted 96 times — 3rd-most among FBS Teams

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA WRs have caught 30 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs have averaged 15.9 yards per target (111 yards/7 targets) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.5

UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 26 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

UTSA have been sacked on just 3% of pass attempts (2/68) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 12 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (23 completions/70 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (14 completions/41 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (14 completions/41 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 14 of 54 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UTEP has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (23 completions/70 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (32 completions/87 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 32 of 87 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (32 completions/87 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 32 of 87 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 61 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.