UTSA vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 24, 2022, 9:33 AM
  • UTSA (8-2) are -13.5 point favorites vs Rice (5-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The UTSA Roadrunners (9-2) visit Rice Stadium to take on the Rice Owls (5-6) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Houston.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UTSA vs. Rice is total points.

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UTSA vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA
Rice

UTSA vs Rice Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 69.3% confidence.

UTSA vs Rice Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Rice, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 25.06% ROI
  • UTSA is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • UTSA is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rice is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.7% ROI
  • Rice is 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Rice is 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UTSA is 9-4 (.692) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 11th-best in FBS; Average: .379

UTSA is 13-2 (.765) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .503

UTSA is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for best in FBS; Average: .617

UTSA is 17-3 (.773) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .515

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Rice

UTSA’s WRs has 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA WRs have caught 29 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 26 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

UTSA’s WRs has 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (468 yards / 123 touches) on 1st down this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Rice WRs have been targeted 13 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– tied for 5th fewest among FBS Teams

Rice RBs have been targeted 0.9 times per game (19/21) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 3rd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.3

Rice Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/14) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

Rice RBs have averaged just 2.8 receiving yards per game (59/21) in the 1st half since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.4

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (32 completions/83 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 60 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

UTSA has allowed a passer rating of just 128.0 in the Red Zone (83.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 60 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 32 of 83 passes (39% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (307 yards / 58 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.6

Rice has allowed 29 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Rice has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (307 yards / 58 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Rice has allowed 14 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Rice has allowed 14 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.