- Texas State Bobcats is a -1.5 point favorite vs. UT San Antonio Roadrunners
- UTSA vs. Texas State Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
UTSA (1-0) visit UFCU Stadium to take on Texas State (0-1) on Sep. 12 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Texas State Bobcats are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The UTSA vs. Texas State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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UTSA vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | +1.5 -108 | 65.5 -102 | -102 |
| Texas State | -1.5 -110 | 65.5 -118 | -118 |
UTSA vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UT San Antonio Roadrunners and the Texas State Bobcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas State Bobcats vs UT San Antonio Roadrunners and all games with BetMGM
UTSA Best Bets Today
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets Today
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 36% ROI)
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UT San Antonio Roadrunners is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 98.04% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.22% ROI
- UTSA is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
- UTSA is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State Bobcats is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.08 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Texas State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- Texas State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613
UTSA was 5-2 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .537
UTSA was 8-1 (.889) when scoring 22 or more points in the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .695
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Texas State was 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Texas State was 5-2 (.714) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Texas State was 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .668
Texas State was 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Texas State
Texas State’s WRs gained 2,572 yards on 173 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State gained 3,261 yards on 253 receptions (12.9 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s WRs gained 2,572 yards on 173 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s WRs gained 2,175 yards on 189 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA had 34 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-most among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense allowed 23 receiving touchdowns last season — 2nd-most among Pac-12 defenses.
UTSA had 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-2nd-best among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA TEs had 35 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs had 366 receiving yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs were targeted 52 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs caught 9 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTSA’s WRs gained 2,175 yards on 189 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State were not intercepted (61 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
Texas State’s WRs gained 2,572 yards on 173 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State gained 3,261 yards on 253 receptions (12.9 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State threw 8 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Texas State’s WRs gained 2,572 yards on 173 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (53 completions/61 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Texas State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS
Texas State allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (3 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 63%
Texas State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State allowed a Completion Pct of 87% (53 completions/61 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
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