- The Auburn Tigers are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the Vanderbilt Commodores
- Vanderbilt vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
Vanderbilt (3-0) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (2-1) on Sep. 26 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 pm.
The Auburn Tigers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Vanderbilt vs. Auburn Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Vanderbilt vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vanderbilt | +9.5 -110 | 54.5 -102 | +275 |
| Auburn | -9.5 -110 | 54.5 -115 | -350 |
Vanderbilt vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 68.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Auburn Tigers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Vanderbilt vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Vanderbilt Best Bets Today
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Auburn Best Bets Today
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt Commodores is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.73% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn Tigers is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
- Auburn is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.9% ROI
- Auburn is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- Auburn is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Vanderbilt is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .672
Vanderbilt is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .585
Vanderbilt is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Vanderbilt was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Auburn was 1-7 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for Vanderbilt vs. Auburn
Auburn’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.4% of 360 attempts last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s TEs gained 215 yards on 26 receptions (just 8.3 YPR) last season — worst among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s TEs gained 215 yards on 26 receptions (just 8.3 YPR) last season — worst among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs had 81 receptions in 13 games (6.2 per game) last season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 19.8 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,154 yards on 148 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt WRs were targeted 32 times in the 4th quarter last season– fewest among SEC Teams
Vanderbilt TEs averaged 6.2 receptions per game (81/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Vanderbilt TEs have averaged 6.2 receptions per game (81/13) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt TEs have been targeted 8.7 times per game (113/13) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn have 4 interceptions on 360 attempts (1 INT per 90.0 attempts) this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 40.1
Auburn TEs have averaged just 2.2 receptions per game (26/12) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Auburn TEs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Auburn have thrown 5 TDs on 36 pass attempts (one TD every 7.2 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Auburn TEs have no touchdowns on 26 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.3
Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 55 pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16.6
Vanderbilt sacked opposing QBs just once on 55 pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16.6
Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%
Vanderbilt tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 39 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 18%
Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 76 of 417 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) this season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Auburn has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%
Auburn allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23%
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (199 completions/354 attempts) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 60%
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