- Vanderbilt is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Georgia State
- Vanderbilt vs. Georgia State Total(Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Vanderbilt is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Vanderbilt vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Vanderbilt vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vanderbilt | -10.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -450 |
| Georgia State | +10.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +325 |
Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Vanderbilt will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Georgia State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 86.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Bets Today
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Ja’Cyais Credle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cadarrius Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tailique Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ahmon Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 400% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Georgia State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Georgia State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Georgia State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
Vanderbilt is winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .411
Vanderbilt is 1-9 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .371
Vanderbilt is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Vanderbilt is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt
Georgia State is winless (0-7) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Georgia State is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .255
Georgia State is winless (0-5) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .304
Georgia State is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .508
Matchup Notes for Vanderbilt vs. Georgia State
Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 72 attempts this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s offense has thrown for 290 passing yards in 2 games (just 145.0 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s QBs has thrown for 273 passing yards in 2 games (just 136.5 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt have just 145.0 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.0 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged just 3.8 yards per reception (34 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 10.6
Vanderbilt’s offense has thrown for 290 passing yards in 2 games (just 145.0 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 253.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt Skill Players have caught just 53 of 121 passes (44% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 58%
Vanderbilt Skill Players have caught just 90 of 198 passes (46% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 60%
Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (18 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.3
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 72 attempts this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia State QBs have rushed for 365 yards in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have no touchdowns on 40 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3
Georgia State Skill Players have been targeted 18 times in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 50 attempts (4%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%
Vanderbilt has allowed 239.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 168.9
Vanderbilt has allowed 107 TDs since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.8
Vanderbilt has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (11,392 yards / 1,409 touches) since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.7
Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (320 completions/471 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 95% (18 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 95% (18 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Georgia State has allowed 34 TD passes since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Georgia State has allowed 34 TD passes since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (33 completions/50 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: 53%
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