Vanderbilt vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 9:04 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) visit Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Missouri Tigers (4-4) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Columbia.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Vanderbilt vs. Missouri is total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt
Missouri

Vanderbilt vs Missouri Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 72.9% confidence.

Vanderbilt vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 74.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tauskie Dove has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+12.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Vanderbilt has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Vanderbilt is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Vanderbilt is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Vanderbilt is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Missouri has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Missouri is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Missouri is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Missouri is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

    Vanderbilt is winless (0-18) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

    Vanderbilt is winless (0-20) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

    Vanderbilt is winless (0-15) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

    Vanderbilt is winless (0-8) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .445

    Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

    Missouri is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

    Missouri is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

    Missouri is 2-10 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

    Missouri is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

    Matchup Notes for Vanderbilt vs. Missouri

    Missouri’s TEs has 39 receptions in 17 games (just 2.3 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among SEC defenses.

    Missouri’s TEs has 4 receptions in 5 games (just 0.8 per game) this season — third-worst among P5 TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

    Missouri’s WRs has 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among SEC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 45 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — most among SEC defenses.

    Vanderbilt’s TEs has 23 receptions in 16 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

    Vanderbilt has just 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed 1.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

    Vanderbilt’s TEs has 8 receptions in 5 games (just 1.6 per game) this season — fourth-worst among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

    Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

    Vanderbilt RBs have averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (274 yards/86 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

    Vanderbilt’s TEs has 23 receptions in 16 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

    Vanderbilt WRs have averaged just 8.1 yards per reception (187 yards/23 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.7

    Vanderbilt have gone for two on 15% of PATs since last season– 2nd highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

    Vanderbilt WRs have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (170 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5

    Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

    Missouri’s TEs has 39 receptions in 17 games (just 2.3 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among SEC defenses.

    Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.7 receptions (272 Rec/11 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.6

    Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.5 receptions (77 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

    Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.5 receptions (77 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.4

    Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.7 receptions (272 Rec/11 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

    Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

    Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 84 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.3

    Vanderbilt has allowed a passer rating of 188.8 (160.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 131.5

    Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 160 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

    Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 13 attempts (31%) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 9%

    Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (8 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

    Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

    Missouri has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 160 carries (7%) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

    Missouri has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 160 carries (7%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3%

    Missouri has allowed first downs on 53% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

    Missouri has allowed 14.1 yards per completion (3,944 yards/280 completions) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

    Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 176.0 in close and late situations (74.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 125.6


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