- Virginia is a -4.5 point favorite vs. California
- Virginia vs. California Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Virginia (7-1) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on California (5-3) on Nov. 1 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT.
Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. California Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | -4.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -190 |
| California | +4.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | 154 |
Virginia vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 53.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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Virginia Best Bets Today
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.71 Units / 32% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
California Best Bets Today
- California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.34 Units / 30% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- California has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- Virginia is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 11.31% ROI
- Virginia is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
- Virginia is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- California is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -15.11% ROI
- California is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- California is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. California
California has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 5.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 38 receptions in 8 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California has 480 receptions in 21 games (22.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
California: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
California is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481
California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. California
California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
California is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481
California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
California has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 5.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 38 receptions in 8 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California has 480 receptions in 21 games (22.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
California has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 5.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 38 receptions in 8 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California has 480 receptions in 21 games (22.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
California is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481
California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
California has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 5.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 38 receptions in 8 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
California has 480 receptions in 21 games (22.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
California Defensive Stats & Trends
California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
California is 5-9 (.357) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481
California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
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