Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

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Coastal Carolina running back Braydon Bennett (1) carries against San Jose State during the first half of the Hawaii Bowl NCAA college football game, Saturday, Dec. 23, 2023, in Honolulu. (AP Photo/Marco Garcia)
(AP Photo/Marco Garcia)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:41 PM
  • Virginia is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Coastal Carolina
  • Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) visit Brooks Stadium to take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT.

Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia-3.5 -11055.5 -110-185
Coastal Carolina +3.5 -11055.5 -110+150

Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Coastal Carolina vs Virginia and all games with BetMGM


  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+9.45 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kobe Pace has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tony Muskett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tony Muskett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Coastal Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Coastal Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Braydon Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ethan Vasko has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ethan Vasko has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jameson Tucker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • Virginia is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 4.48% ROI
  • Virginia is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Virginia is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 27.62% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Virginia is 2-6 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Virginia is 3-10 (.231) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Virginia is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

Virginia is 1-9 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia

Coastal Carolina is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .497

Coastal Carolina is 9-1 (.750) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512

Coastal Carolina is 6-2 (.545) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343

Coastal Carolina is 12-5 (.632) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .508

Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s TEs has 26 receptions in 15 games (just 1.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s TEs has 26 receptions in 15 games (just 1.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.1 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia’s TEs has 26 receptions in 15 games (just 1.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s TEs has 26 receptions in 15 games (just 1.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.1 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 64 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.6

Virginia’s WRs has 243 receptions in 15 games (16.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (1,002 yards/50 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 540 passing yards in 3 games (just 180.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have averaged just 12.7 receptions per game (38/3) this season– T-15th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.1

Virginia has no interceptions (108 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.3

Virginia has no interceptions (108 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

Virginia has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

Virginia has averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (485 Pass Attempts/19 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (46 PATs) since the 2023 season– T-lowest in FBS; Average: 7%

Coastal Carolina has allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most in FBS

Coastal Carolina has allowed 13.5 yards per completion (6,675 yards/493 completions) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Coastal Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 37 of 176 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.