- Maryland is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Virginia
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Virginia Cavaliers visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in College Park.
– is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at ().
The Virginia vs. Maryland Over/Under is total points.
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Virginia vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | |||
| Maryland |
Virginia vs Maryland Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 85.7% confidence.
Virginia vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 77.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+8.35 Units / 121% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Virginia is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Virginia is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Virginia is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Maryland is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379
Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .410
Virginia is 1-7 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Virginia is winless (0-4) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
Maryland was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .545
Maryland is 8-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Maryland is 1-7 (.111) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379
Maryland is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. Maryland
Maryland’s WRs has gained 344 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has 14 receptions in 2 games (7.0 per game) this season — second-best among P5 TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — tied for third-worst among ACC defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 344 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia has gained 483 yards on 31 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for worst among ACC TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game this season — tied for 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.3 receptions (158 Rec/6 TDs) since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
Virginia has gained 483 yards on 31 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for worst among ACC TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game this season — tied for 28th-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.0% of 50 attempts this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.9% of attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland’s WRs has gained 344 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has 14 receptions in 2 games (7.0 per game) this season — second-best among P5 TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — tied for third-worst among ACC defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has gained 344 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 4,255 passing yards in 15 games (283.7 YPG) since the 2022 season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 221.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams
Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia has allowed 4 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Virginia has allowed 4 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Virginia has allowed 5 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Virginia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 52 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Virginia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 52 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 74 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 39 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 12%.
Maryland did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 34 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 12%.
Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 74 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.
Maryland had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.0
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