Virginia Tech vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Liberty (8-2) are -10 point favorites vs Virginia Tech (2-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points

The Virginia Tech Hokies (3-8) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (8-3) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lynchburg.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Virginia Tech vs. Liberty is total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech
Liberty

Virginia Tech vs Liberty Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 65.1% confidence.

Virginia Tech vs Liberty Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia Tech players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Grant Wells has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Grant Wells has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.96 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.49 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -78.7% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Liberty is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 14.93% ROI
  • Liberty is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Liberty is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Virginia Tech is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 22 or more points — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

Virginia Tech is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Virginia Tech is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396

Virginia Tech is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Liberty is 10-1 (.909) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .497

Liberty is 11-4 (.733) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Liberty is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .554

Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. Liberty

Liberty’s offense has given up79 sacks since the 2021 season — second-most among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense has sacked the quarterback 43 times since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech WRs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (116 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Virginia Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Virginia Tech RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech TEs have been targeted 25 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

Liberty WRs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Liberty WRs have 24 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Liberty Skill Players have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Liberty Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Liberty’s offense has given up79 sacks since the 2021 season — second-most among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense has sacked the quarterback 43 times since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 20 of 56 carries (36%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Virginia Tech has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 20 of 56 carries (36%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 17%

Virginia Tech has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 10 of 26 carries (39%) on 3rd and long this season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 18%

Virginia Tech has allowed first downs on 29% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 15%

Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends

Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 83 of 332 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 83 of 332 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 17 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Liberty has 13 interceptions this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 17 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.