- The Virginia Tech Hokies are a -3 point favorite vs. the Maryland Terrapins
- Virginia Tech vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Virginia Tech (2-0) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (2-0) on Sep. 19 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Virginia Tech Hokies are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3 (-108).
The Virginia Tech vs. Maryland Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Virginia Tech vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia Tech | -3 -108 | 53.5 -102 | -150 |
| Maryland | +3 -110 | 53.5 -118 | +125 |
Virginia Tech vs Maryland Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 53.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Maryland Terrapins, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Virginia Tech vs Maryland Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Virginia Tech Best Bets Today
- Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia Tech Hokies is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Virginia Tech is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Virginia Tech is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Virginia Tech is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland Terrapins is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Maryland is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Virginia Tech was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Virginia Tech was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Virginia Tech was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Virginia Tech was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech
Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Maryland was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Maryland was 2-8 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. Maryland
Maryland has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 11.8 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland had 283 receptions in 12 games (23.6 per game) last season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 19.5 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.
Maryland has 343 receptions in 14 games (24.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 18.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Virginia Tech’s TEs had 28 receptions in 12 games (just 2.3 per game) last season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Maryland’s defense allowed 20.2 receptions per game last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia Tech’s offense threw for 1,995 passing yards in 12 games (just 166.2 YPG) last season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia Tech’s WRs had just 128.2 receiving yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia Tech TEs had no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Virginia Tech TEs were targeted 6 times in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
Virginia Tech TEs had 4 receptions on 3rd down last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Virginia Tech TEs had 4 receptions in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Virginia Tech TEs were targeted 6 times in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland TEs caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 68%
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 40.1 times per game (481/12) last season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 28.3
Maryland WRs averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 151 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Maryland threw 7 TDs on 54 pass attempts (one TD every 7.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia Tech sacked opposing QBs on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) last week– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Virginia Tech tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 31 rushing attempts (42% TFL%) last week– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Virginia Tech sacked opposing QBs on 33% of pass attempts (7/21) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Virginia Tech allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (22 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Virginia Tech did not record a sack (41 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Maryland sacked opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) last week– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.0
Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.
Maryland allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS
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