Virginia Tech vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Rutgers running back Samuel Brown, left, runs up field against Ohio State during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022, in Columbus, Ohio. (AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
(AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:13 AM
  • Rutgers is a -7 point favorite vs. Virginia Tech
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Virginia Tech Hokies visit SHI Stadium to take on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Piscataway.

Rutgers is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech+7 -11038.5 -110+200
Rutgers -7 -11038.5 -110-250

Virginia Tech vs Rutgers Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Rutgers will win this game with 54.6% confidence.

Virginia Tech vs Rutgers Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and Rutgers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (+1.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+4.85 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia Tech players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Grant Wells has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Grant Wells has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Grant Wells has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.05 Units / -2.27% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Virginia Tech is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .442

Virginia Tech is winless (0-6) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .412

Virginia Tech is 2-12 (.143) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

Virginia Tech is 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Rutgers is winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440

Rutgers is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

Rutgers is winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .321

Rutgers is 1-12 (.077) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .385

Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 27 yards on 4 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers has gained 361 yards on 27 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers has gained 361 yards on 27 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 1,655 yards on 115 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Virginia Tech has gained 534 yards on 36 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — third-best among ACC skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.1% of 70 attempts this season — tied for 18th-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.5% of attempts this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech WRs have averaged just 6.0 yards per reception (18 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.4

Virginia Tech Skill Players have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (159 yards/7 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Virginia Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions in close and late situations since the 2021 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6

Virginia Tech’s WRs has gained 1,655 yards on 115 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Virginia Tech WRs have caught just 3 of 12 passes (25% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 27 yards on 4 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers has gained 361 yards on 27 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Rutgers has gained 361 yards on 27 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Skill Players have no touchdowns on 13 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 27 yards on 4 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 17 rushing attempts (41% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 17 rushing attempts (41% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Virginia Tech intercepted 4 of 372 attempts (93.0 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 38.3

Virginia Tech intercepted 4 of 372 attempts (93.0 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 39.1

Virginia Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 20% of pass attempts (5/25) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Rutgers has allowed first downs on 12% of rush attempts in close and late situations since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 22%

Rutgers has allowed first downs on 8% of rush attempts in close and late situations since last season– best in FBS; Average: 22%

Rutgers tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Rutgers’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (47 PATs) since last season– tied for lowest in FBS; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.