W Michigan vs Marshall Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

min read
Marshall head coach Charles Huff protests a call during the second half of an NCAA college football game against North Carolina State in Raleigh, N.C., Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. (AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 27, 2024, 12:03 PM
  • The Marshall is a -3 point favorite vs. W Michigan
  • The Western Michigan vs. Marshall Total(Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos (1-2) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Western Michigan vs. Marshall Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Marshall vs W Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Western Michigan vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+3 -10554.5 -110+135
Marshall -3 -11554.5 -110-160

Western Michigan vs Marshall Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Michigan vs Marshall Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Marshall vs W Michigan and all games with BetMGM


Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

Western Michigan is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .490

Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Western Michigan is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Marshall is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Marshall is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Marshall

Marshall’s TEs has 2 receptions in 3 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 401 yards on 62 carries (6.5 YPC) this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

No notes available for this game

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.4 receptions (22 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Western Michigan Skill Players have caught 7 of 7 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

Western Michigan TEs have averaged 17.7 yards per target (106 yards/6 targets) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

Western Michigan WRs have been targeted 10.0 times per game (30/3) this season– T-3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall’s TEs has 2 receptions in 3 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 4.7 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall WRs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Marshall QBs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Marshall WRs have averaged 15.0 receptions per game (45/3) this season– T-33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Marshall WRs have 202 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

Western Michigan has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

Western Michigan has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Western Michigan has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.9

Western Michigan has no interceptions (61 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.9

Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Marshall allowed 12.1 Yards per Carry (170 yards/14 carries) on 1st down last week– worst in FBS; Average: 4.4

Marshall allowed 11.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (569 yards / 49 touches) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 6.8

Marshall has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Marshall allowed 13.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 24 touches) on 1st down last week– worst in FBS; Average: 6.6


Bet now on Marshall vs W Michigan and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.