W Michigan vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

Miami (Ohio) head football coach Chuck Martin directs the team before an NCAA college football game against Northwestern, Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Evanston, Ill. (AP Photo/Matt Marton)
(AP Photo/Matt Marton)
  • Miami (OH) is a -1.5 point favorite vs. W Michigan
  • Western Michigan vs. Miami Ohio Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Western Michigan (4-3) visit Fred C. Yager Stadium to take on Miami Ohio (4-3) on Oct. 25 in Oxford, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Miami (OH) is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Western Michigan vs. Miami Ohio Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

Bet now on Miami (OH) vs W Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Western Michigan vs. Miami Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+1.5 -10541.5 -115105
Miami Ohio -1.5 -11541.5 -105-125

Western Michigan vs Miami Ohio Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Miami (OH), key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Michigan vs Miami Ohio Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Miami (OH) vs W Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.57 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 26.71% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (196 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Miami (OH)’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 1,114 yards on 70 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) has gained 1,339 yards on 92 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Miami (OH) was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Miami Ohio

Miami (OH) was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (196 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Miami (OH)’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 1,114 yards on 70 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) has gained 1,339 yards on 92 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (196 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Miami (OH)’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 1,114 yards on 70 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) has gained 1,339 yards on 92 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (196 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Miami (OH)’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 1,114 yards on 70 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) has gained 1,339 yards on 92 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591


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