Wake Forest vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:02 AM
  • Wake Forest (7-4) are -3.5 point favorites vs Duke (7-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 66 points

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-4) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (7-4) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Durham.

Wake Forest are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Wake Forest vs. Duke Over/Under is 66 total points.

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Wake Forest vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest-3.5 -11066 -110-175
Duke +3.5 -11066 -110+145

Wake Forest vs Duke Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 55.3% confidence.

Wake Forest vs Duke Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Wake Forest Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wake Forest players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam Hartman has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Sam Hartman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Sam Hartman has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Donavon Greene has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Duke Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Duke players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.25 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest has gone 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 2.18% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke has gone 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.75 Units / 34.25% ROI).

  • Duke is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 27.2% ROI
  • Duke is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • Duke is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Wake Forest is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .383

Wake Forest is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Wake Forest is undefeated (9-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .581

Wake Forest is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .597

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Duke is 6-1 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Duke is 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Duke is 6-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .432

Duke is 6-1 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438

Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. Duke

Duke’s WRs has 12 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 43 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among ACC defenses.

Duke’s QBs has 22 rushing touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 37 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — second-most among ACC defenses.

Duke’s QBs has 18 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 29 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs have 275.7 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed 248.3 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs have 277.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. Duke’s defense has allowed 282.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest has been targeted 847 times since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Power 5 skill players. Duke’s defense has allowed 6,224 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-most among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest WRs have 1,786 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Wake Forest WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Wake Forest QBs have 30 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Wake Forest WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 2nd-most among Power 5 Teams

Wake Forest Skill Players have 1,936 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.2 receptions (303 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke’s WRs has 12 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 43 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among ACC defenses.

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.2 receptions (303 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest has allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs this season– highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Wake Forest has forced 33 fumbles since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Wake Forest has allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for most in FBS

Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke has allowed 47.1 receiving yards per game (1,037/22) to RBs since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

Duke has forced 33 fumbles since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Duke has allowed 50 TD passes since the 2021 season– 4th-most in FBS

Duke has allowed 4.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (645 yards / 142 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

Duke has forced 16 fumbles this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.