Wake Forest vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:30 PM
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The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-2) visit Cardinal Stadium to take on the Louisville Cardinals (5-3) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Louisville.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Wake Forest vs. Louisville is total points.

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Wake Forest vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest
Louisville

Wake Forest vs Louisville Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 59.7% confidence.

Wake Forest vs Louisville Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and Louisville, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Wake Forest Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wake Forest players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Louisville Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisville players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Wake Forest is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Wake Forest is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Wake Forest is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Louisville is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Louisville is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Louisville is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

#13 Wake Forest is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .376

#13 Wake Forest is 9-2 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373

#13 Wake Forest is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

#13 Wake Forest is 11-3 (.733) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .496

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Louisville is 4-15 (.211) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Louisville is 4-13 (.235) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2020 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Louisville is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Louisville is 4-13 (.235) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. Louisville

Louisville’s TEs has 24 receptions in 7 games (3.4 per game) this season — fifth-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for best among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s TEs has 79 receptions in 20 games (4.0 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s WRs has 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among ACC WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fewest among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s TEs has 48 receptions in 20 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 18.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest has gained 2,033 yards on 154 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — third-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 5,643 yards on 377 receptions (15.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s TEs has 48 receptions in 20 games (just 2.4 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 18.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest has gained 2,033 yards on 154 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — third-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 5,643 yards on 377 receptions (15.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs have 268.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 211.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has been targeted 625 times since the 2021 season — second-most among Power 5 WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 4,014 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among ACC defenses.

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville WRs have just one touchdown on 56 receptions this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Louisville Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (89 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisville’s TEs has 24 receptions in 7 games (3.4 per game) this season — fifth-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for best among FBS defenses.

Louisville WRs have just one touchdown on 56 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.5

Louisville’s TEs has 79 receptions in 20 games (4.0 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 1.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 36% of PATs this season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%

#13 Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 36% of PATs this season– highest in FBS; Average: 6%

#13 Wake Forest has allowed one rushing TD on 16 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.7

#13 Wake Forest has forced 30 fumbles since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#13 Wake Forest has forced 30 fumbles since last season– tied for most in FBS

Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 7 of 142 attempts (5%) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Louisville has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (18/142) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Louisville has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (18/142) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 7%

Louisville has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 13 of their 175 carries (7%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Louisville has allowed a passer rating of 156.7 (142.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.