Wake Forest vs Missouri Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Gasparilla Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 22, 2022, 10:15 AM
  • Wake Forest (7-5) are -1 point favorites vs Missouri (6-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • Watch the Gasparilla Bowl game on ESPN

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-5) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Missouri Tigers (6-6) on Dec. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Tampa for the Gasparilla Bowl.

Wake Forest are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Wake Forest vs. Missouri Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Wake Forest vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest-2 -11058.5 -110-125
Missouri +2 -11058.5 -110+105

Wake Forest vs Missouri Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 54.1% confidence.

Wake Forest vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Wake Forest Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wake Forest players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam Hartman has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Sam Hartman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • A.T. Perry has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Sam Hartman has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Donavon Greene has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Tauskie Dove has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest has gone 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.52% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri has gone 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.45 Units / 10.94% ROI).

  • Missouri is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • Missouri is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Missouri is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Wake Forest is undefeated (9-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .584

Wake Forest is 9-3 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .384

Wake Forest is 12-4 (.706) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .446

Wake Forest is 10-4 (.588) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .390

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Missouri is 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

Missouri is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Missouri is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .400

Missouri is 1-2 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .335

Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. Missouri

Missouri’s TEs has 7 receptions in 10 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Missouri’s TEs have just 8.5 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 263.9 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest has 24 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most among Power 5 skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — third-fewest among SEC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has 20 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most among Power 5 WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — third-fewest among SEC defenses.

Wake Forest’s RBs has 11 receptions in 11 games (just 1.0 per game) this season — third-worst among FBS RBs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 17.7 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest QBs have 31 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Wake Forest WRs have caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Wake Forest WRs have caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Wake Forest WRs have caught 61 touchdown passes since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Wake Forest Skill Players have caught 24 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri’s TEs has 7 receptions in 10 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.7 receptions (352 Rec/17 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

Missouri Skill Players have no touchdowns on 26 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.7 receptions (352 Rec/17 TDs) since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Missouri WRs have just one touchdown on 57 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.1

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs this season– highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Wake Forest has allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Wake Forest’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs this season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Wake Forest defense has allowed 98 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– tied for 3rd fewest in FBS

Wake Forest has allowed 97 receptions for 20+ yards since last season– tied for 2nd fewest among Power 5 Teams

Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 194.5 in close and late situations (44.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 121.7

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 184.4 in close and late situations (99.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.4

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 184.4 in close and late situations (99.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 125.5

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 194.5 in close and late situations (44.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 124.1

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 204.2 in the Red Zone (64.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.