Washington vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:50 PM
  • Oregon (8-1) are -13.5 point favorites vs Washington (7-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 72.5 points

The Washington Huskies (9-2) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (9-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Eugene.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Washington vs. Oregon is total points.

Bet now on Oregon vs Washington & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Washington vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington
Oregon

Washington vs Oregon Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 66.8% confidence.

Washington vs Oregon Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Oregon, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Washington Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wayne Taulapapa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Wayne Taulapapa has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jalen McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.50 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.91 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Washington is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • Washington is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI
  • Washington is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 18.55% ROI
  • Oregon is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Oregon is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Washington is 7-1 (.875) when not throwing an interception — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .578

Washington is 7-3 (.538) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .404

Washington is 6-1 (.750) when not throwing an interception — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .492

#21 Washington is 2-6 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

#10 Oregon is 11-2 (.733) when passing for more than 200 yards — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405

#10 Oregon is 14-2 (.824) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .467

#10 Oregon is 11-1 (.846) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .500

#10 Oregon is 11-1 (.846) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .404

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Oregon

Oregon’s TEs has 9 receiving touchdowns this season — second-most among P5 TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed 17 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most among FBS TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s WRs has 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 3,077 passing yards in 8 games (384.6 YPG) this season — best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington have 376.0 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 264.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington’s WRs have 280.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 264.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 3,077 passing yards in 8 games (384.6 YPG) this season — best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington have 376.0 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 264.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington’s WRs have 280.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 264.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington has been targeted 355 times this season — second-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 2,114 receiving yards this season — third-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington’s offense has thrown for 3,023 passing yards in 8 games (377.9 YPG) this season — best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 Oregon TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

#6 Oregon TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#6 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#6 Oregon TEs have been targeted 22 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 Washington has forced one fumble on 274 carries this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 39.7

#24 Washington has forced one fumble on 274 carries this season– worst in FBS; Average: 39.4

#24 Washington has allowed 191.2 Passing Yards per game (3,824/20) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 240.1

#24 Washington has allowed 191.2 Passing Yards per game (3,824/20) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 242.0

#24 Washington has allowed just 11.0 yards per completion (3,824 yards/349 completions) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 Oregon has allowed 28 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#6 Oregon has allowed 29 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 Oregon has allowed 28 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most in FBS

#6 Oregon has allowed 29 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

#6 Oregon has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (33/781) since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 7%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Oregon vs Washington and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.