Washington St vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 8:11 PM

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Virginia coach Tony Elliott reacts to a call on the field during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Duke in Durham, N.C., Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022.

(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)

Virginia is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Washington St
Washington State vs. Virginia Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: CW

Washington State (3-3) visit Scott Stadium to take on Virginia (5-1) on Oct. 18 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT.

Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Washington State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Washington State	+17.5 -110	56.5 -110	600
Virginia	-17.5 -110	56.5 -110	-900

Washington State vs Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Washington State Best Bets Today

Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+12.15 Units / 63% ROI)
Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Washington State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Washington State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Virginia Best Bets Today

Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.76 Units / 32% ROI)
Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Washington State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 14.47% ROI
Washington State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Washington State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia iss 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

Virginia is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 10.3% ROI
Virginia is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Virginia is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia

Washington State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 14 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 4,949 passing yards in 19 games (260.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 255.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 4,949 passing yards in 19 games (260.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 255.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 311 receptions in 19 games (16.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 14.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Virginia’s TEs has gained 236 yards on 21 receptions (11.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia has gained 1,630 yards on 144 receptions (just 11.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Virginia has 389 receptions in 18 games (21.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. Virginia

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Washington State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 14 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 14 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Washington State Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 14 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

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