Washington State vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 10:12 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Washington State Cougars (4-3) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (6-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Washington State vs. USC is total points.

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Washington State vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State
USC

Washington State vs USC Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 64.5% confidence.

Washington State vs USC Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts tossup will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington State and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Washington State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kedon Slovis has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.80 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Nakia Watson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Cameron Ward has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Cameron Ward has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jordan Addison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+15.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.11 Units / 12% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Washington State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Washington State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Washington State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • USC is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Washington State is 8-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Washington State is 8-4 (.615) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .455

Washington State is 7-3 (.636) when not losing a fumble — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Washington State is 1-3 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .335

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

#6 USC is 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

#6 USC is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .492

#6 USC is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

#6 USC is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. USC

USC’s receiving corps has 303 receptions in 16 games (18.9 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Washington State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s tight end unit have just 10.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among P5 TE corps. Washington State’s defense has allowed 232.8 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC has 413 receptions in 16 games (25.8 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State’s receiving corps has 21 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among Power 5 WR corps. USC’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State’s receiving corps has been targeted 517 times since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Power 5 WR corps. USC’s defense has allowed 3,756 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State’s receiving corps has 21 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among FBS WR corps. USC’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State WRs have been targeted 89 times in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Washington State WRs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Washington State WRs have 50 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Washington State WRs have 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Washington State WRs have 50 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC WRs have 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

#6 USC Skill Players have 19 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#6 USC RBs have been targeted 4 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#6 USC WRs have 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC Skill Players have averaged 25.8 receptions per game (413/16) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.7

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has allowed one rushing TD on 133 carries this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 24.8

Washington State has allowed one rushing TD on 133 carries this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 28.3

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (19/135) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 7%

Washington State has averaged 4.8 sacks per game this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Washington State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 28 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8%

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (19/124) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 7%

#6 USC has averaged 4.8 sacks per game this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 2.1

#6 USC has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (19/124) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#6 USC has 8 interceptions this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC has sacked opponents 19 times this season– tied for most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.