West Virginia vs Central Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 7:04 PM

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Central Florida is a -7.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
West Virginia vs. UCF Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

West Virginia (2-4) visit Acrisure Bounce House to take on UCF (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

Central Florida is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. UCF Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
West Virginia	+7.5 -110	46.5 -105	220
UCF	-7.5 -110	46.5 -115	-275

West Virginia vs UCF Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 68.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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West Virginia Best Bets Today

West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 26% ROI)

UCF Best Bets Today

UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.85 Units / 11% ROI)
UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)
UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

West Virginia is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.04% ROI
West Virginia is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
West Virginia is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

UCF is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -6.08% ROI
UCF is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
UCF is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. UCF

West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

West Virginia did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%

West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

UCF: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

UCF Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (124 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

UCF have thrown 5 TDs on 38 pass attempts (one TD every 7.6 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

UCF WRs have caught just 5 of 25 passes (20% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 54%

UCF Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (124 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.5

UCF WRs have averaged a touchdown every 35.5 receptions (71 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4

Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. UCF