West Virginia vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Colorado head coach Deion Sanders in the first half of the team's spring practice NCAA college football game Saturday, April 22, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Houston is a -13.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
  • West Virginia vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

West Virginia (2-6) visit TDECU Stadium to take on Houston (7-1) on Nov. 1 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Houston is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. Houston Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+13.5 -11049.5 -110400
Houston -13.5 -11049.5 -110-525

West Virginia vs Houston Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 78.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.52 Units / 24% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.76 Units / 25% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -11.02% ROI
  • West Virginia is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • West Virginia is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston iss 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.94% ROI).

  • Houston is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 17.03% ROI
  • Houston is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Houston is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Houston was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

West Virginia has 353 receptions in 21 games (just 16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 4,146 passing yards in 21 games (just 197.4 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Houston’s defense has allowed just 197.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Houston

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

West Virginia has 353 receptions in 21 games (just 16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 4,146 passing yards in 21 games (just 197.4 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Houston’s defense has allowed just 197.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Houston was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Houston was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

West Virginia has 353 receptions in 21 games (just 16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 4,146 passing yards in 21 games (just 197.4 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Houston’s defense has allowed just 197.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston was 1-7 (.125) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Houston was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Houston is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Houston was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Skill Players averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

West Virginia has 353 receptions in 21 games (just 16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 4,146 passing yards in 21 games (just 197.4 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Houston’s defense has allowed just 197.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.


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