West Virginia vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

Texas Tech running back Tahj Brooks (28) runs the ball against Oregon during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Chase Seabolt)
(AP Photo/Chase Seabolt)
  • Texas Tech is a -3.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
  • West Virginia vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The West Virginia Mountaineers (6-5) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4) on Nov. 30 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+3.5 -11064.5 -105+145
Texas Tech -3.5 -11064.5 -115-175

West Virginia vs Texas Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Texas Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • CJ Donaldson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaden Bray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Caleb Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 16.35% ROI
  • West Virginia is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • West Virginia is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 13.17% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 26.69% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

West Virginia is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .333

West Virginia is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

West Virginia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .695

West Virginia is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: .671

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Texas Tech is 9-4 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Texas Tech is 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .534

Texas Tech is 13-8 (.619) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Texas Tech is 10-7 (.588) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .427

Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 225 receptions in 24 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 2,141 passing yards in 11 games (just 194.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 309.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia’s WRs has 225 receptions in 24 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 2,141 passing yards in 11 games (just 194.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 309.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 2,141 passing yards in 11 games (just 194.6 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 309.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has gained 1,559 yards on 104 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 14.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 3,221 passing yards in 11 games (292.8 YPG) this season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 260.7 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech TEs were targeted 4 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– most among Big 12 Teams

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 318 attempts (5%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

West Virginia has sacked opposing QBs just once on 75 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

West Virginia has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 318 attempts (5%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%

West Virginia has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has allowed 309.9 Passing Yards per game (3,409/11) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 223.1

Texas Tech has allowed 309.9 Passing Yards per game (3,409/11) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 217.6

Texas Tech has allowed 3,409 Passing Yards this season– most in the Big 12

Texas Tech has allowed 45.9 receiving yards per game (505/11) to RBs this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.9

Texas Tech has allowed 150 first down receptions this season– 2nd-most in FBS


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.