Western Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:25 AM
  • Auburn (4-6) are -5.5 point favorites vs Western Kentucky (7-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (5-6) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Auburn.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Western Kentucky vs. Auburn is total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky
Auburn

Western Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 57.4% confidence.

Western Kentucky vs Auburn Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tank Bigsby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Shedrick Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+2.77 Units / 12% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -14.82% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Auburn is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -6.13% ROI
  • Auburn is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Auburn is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Western Kentucky is 12-2 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .617

Western Kentucky is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 13th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Western Kentucky is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .561

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Auburn is 2-7 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Auburn is 3-7 (.273) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Auburn is 2-10 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Auburn is 4-6 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Auburn

Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 2,938 passing yards in 9 games (326.4 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 218.0 passing yards per game this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

Western Kentucky’s WRs has 39 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 23 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among SEC defenses.

Western Kentucky have 325.1 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 204.7 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 27.0 receptions per game (621/23) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Western Kentucky QBs have 137 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have 123 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have 73 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Skill Players have caught 52 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn RBs have averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (103 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Auburn RBs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Auburn WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (282 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Auburn RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Auburn Skill Players have averaged 16.5 yards per reception (446 yards/27 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky has 14 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has 35 interceptions since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most in FBS

Western Kentucky has 35 interceptions since last season– tied for most in FBS

Western Kentucky has averaged 1.52 interceptions per game (35/23) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.81

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has intercepted 2 of 295 attempts (147.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Auburn has intercepted 2 of 295 attempts (147.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.6

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 63 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Auburn has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (10 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Auburn has averaged 0.22 interceptions per game (2/9) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.84


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.