Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:02 AM
  • Western Kentucky (7-5) are -7 point favorites vs Florida Atlantic (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5) visit FAU Stadium to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (5-6) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Boca Raton.

Western Kentucky are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky-7 -11061.5 -110-275
Florida Atlantic +7 -11061.5 -110+225

Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 61.1% confidence.

Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.93 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 48% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky has gone 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -18.43% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Florida Atlantic is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 26.9 receptions per game (646/24) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Western Kentucky Skill Players have 142 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky QBs have 142 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have 8,289 receiving yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Skill Players have averaged 31.4 receptions per game (754/24) since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic QBs have fumbled 7 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic QBs have 28 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic QBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky has allowed 20 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Western Kentucky has 35 interceptions since the 2021 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has averaged 1.46 interceptions per game (35/24) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.80

Western Kentucky has averaged 1.40 interceptions per game (14/10) this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.82

Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 44 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Florida Atlantic has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (29/706) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Florida Atlantic has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 44 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (25 completions/34 attempts) in the Red Zone — worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.