Western Kentucky vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Indiana Hoosiers are a -44.5 point favorite vs. the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
• Western Kentucky vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
• TV Channel: PEAC

Western Kentucky (0-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on Indiana (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.

The Indiana Hoosiers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -44.5 (-108).

The Western Kentucky vs. Indiana Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Western Kentucky vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Indiana Hoosiers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Kentucky vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Western Kentucky Best Bets Today

• Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+14.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Indiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Indiana Best Bets Today

• Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

• Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
• Western Kentucky is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Western Kentucky is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana Hoosiers is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

• Indiana is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Indiana is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Indiana is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Western Kentucky was 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Western Kentucky was 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Western Kentucky was 4-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Indiana was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Indiana was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Indiana was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Indiana was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Indiana

Indiana had 2.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana had 46 receiving touchdowns last season — most among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 12 receiving touchdowns last season — T-5th-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Indiana’s WRs had 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — best among Big Ten WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged 5.8 targets per game last season — T-26th-highest among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s offense threw for 3,538 passing yards in 13 games (272.2 YPG) last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged 5.8 targets per game last season — T-26th-highest among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s offense threw for 3,538 passing yards in 13 games (272.2 YPG) last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky Skill Players were targeted 17 times on 3rd down last week– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky’s QBs threw for 3,494 passing yards in 13 games (268.8 YPG) last season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana WRs caught 42 touchdown passes last season– most among FBS Teams

Indiana threw for 6 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses

Indiana Skill Players averaged 23.2 yards per reception (209 yards/9 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.6

Indiana WRs had 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big Ten Teams

Indiana WRs caught 27 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most in FBS

Western Kentucky allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Western Kentucky opponents averaged 38.4 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.0

Western Kentucky allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 52%

Western Kentucky allowed 8 TDs last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana opponents averaged 48.6 Passing Attempts per TD (486 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

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