- Ohio State is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Western Kentucky
- Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Columbus.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -29.5 (-115).
The Western Kentucky vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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Western Kentucky vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Kentucky | +29.5 -105 | 65.5 -115 | +1800 |
| Ohio State | -29.5 -115 | 65.5 -105 | -10000 |
Western Kentucky vs Ohio State Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Western Kentucky vs Ohio State Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Miyan Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 20.83% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ohio State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -11.95% ROI
- Ohio State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Ohio State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Western Kentucky is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283
Western Kentucky is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .398
Western Kentucky was 9-3 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .518
Western Kentucky is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
#3 Ohio State is 13-1 (.867) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .377
#3 Ohio State is undefeated (18-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .603
#3 Ohio State is 9-1 (.818) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423
#3 Ohio State is 11-1 (.917) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Ohio State
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 69 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — tied for 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.1% of 477 attempts since the 2022 season — ninth-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 4,474 yards on 316 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for best among Power 5 skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 119.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 5,578 passing yards in 16 games (348.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — second-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 203.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 119.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among P5 defenses.
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky Skill Players have averaged 31.2 receptions per game (936/30) since the 2021 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 119.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 26.6 receptions per game (797/30) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Western Kentucky WRs have 158 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 5,578 passing yards in 16 games (348.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — second-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 203.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
#3 Ohio State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 21 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.1
#6 Ohio State RBs have averaged 16.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (84 yards / 5 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.1
#3 Ohio State Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (434 yards/21 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 69 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — tied for 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
#3 Ohio State WRs have no touchdowns on 12 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky has allowed 374.0 rushing yards per game (374/1) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 127.4
Western Kentucky has allowed 61.0 carries per game (61 carries / 1 games) this season– highest in FBS; Average: 33.7
Western Kentucky has allowed 61.0 carries per game (61 carries / 1 games) this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 34.4
Western Kentucky has allowed 23 TDs in close and late situations since the 2021 season– tied for most in FBS
Western Kentucky has allowed 374 rushing yards this season– 4th-most in FBS
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
#3 Ohio State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 305 attempts (4%) in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%
#3 Ohio State allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 23%
#3 Ohio State allowed 5 rushing TDs on 40 carries (8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7
#3 Ohio State allowed 6.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (214 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6
#3 Ohio State has allowed 87.0 Passing Yards per game (87/1) this season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 223.5
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