Western Kentucky vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:32 PM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-3) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in San Antonio.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Western Kentucky vs. UTSA is total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky
UTSA

Western Kentucky vs UTSA Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 57.4% confidence.

Western Kentucky vs UTSA Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Western Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Western Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • UTSA is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • UTSA is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

UTSA is 10-2 (.769) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .492

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. UTSA

UTSA’s receiving corps has 89 receptions in 4 games (22.2 per game) this season — fifth-best among FBS WR corps. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 27.3 receptions per game this season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA’s receiving corps has 89 receptions in 4 games (22.2 per game) this season — fifth-best among FBS WR corps. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 27.3 receptions per game this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA has 113 receptions in 4 games (28.2 per game) this season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 27.3 receptions per game this season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Western Kentucky’s receiving corps has been targeted 689 times since the 2021 season — most among FBS WR corps. UTSA’s defense has allowed 4,651 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among NonP5 defenses.

Western Kentucky has been targeted 790 times since the 2021 season — second-most among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 4,651 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among NonP5 defenses.

Western Kentucky’s receiving corps has been targeted 689 times since the 2021 season — most among FBS WR corps. UTSA’s defense has allowed 4,651 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 28.9 receptions per game (491/17) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Western Kentucky has averaged 415.5 Passing Yards per game (7,064/17) since last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 235.1*

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 25.7 receptions per game (77/3) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 369.8 receiving yards per game (6,286/17) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 173.3

Western Kentucky Skill Players have averaged 33.4 receptions per game (568/17) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA’s receiving corps has 89 receptions in 4 games (22.2 per game) this season — fifth-best among FBS WR corps. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 27.3 receptions per game this season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA WRs have averaged 22.2 receptions per game (89/4) this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

UTSA TEs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

UTSA WRs have caught 21 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

UTSA Skill Players have averaged 28.2 receptions per game (113/4) this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.6

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky has 27 interceptions since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Western Kentucky has 27 interceptions since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Kentucky has averaged 1.59 interceptions per game (27/17) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.80

Western Kentucky has averaged 1.59 interceptions per game (27/17) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 0.83

Western Kentucky’s opponents has attempted 45.3 passes per game this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 30.6

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has no interceptions and 7 TD passes allowed this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

UTSA has allowed 82.2 receiving yards per game (329/4) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 27.7

UTSA has no interceptions and 7 TD passes allowed this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (24 completions/67 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (24 completions/67 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.