Western Michigan vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

min read
Iowa defensive back Cooper DeJean (3) gets set for a play during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Wisconsin, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in Iowa City, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:13 AM
  • Iowa is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Western Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Western Michigan Broncos visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Iowa City.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Iowa Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Western Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Western Michigan vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+28.5 -11042.5 -110+1800
Iowa -28.5 -11042.5 -110-10000

Western Michigan vs Iowa Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Western Michigan vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Michigan and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Iowa vs Western Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Iowa is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 8.87% ROI
  • Iowa is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Iowa is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Western Michigan is 1-9 (.091) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Western Michigan was winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .452

Western Michigan is winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454

Western Michigan is 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

#25 Iowa is undefeated (5-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .602

#25 Iowa is undefeated (13-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .620

#25 Iowa is 9-2 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .533

#25 Iowa is 9-4 (.529) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .412

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Iowa

Iowa’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 403 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 332 passing yards in 2 games (just 166.0 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 295.0 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs have just 53.0 receiving yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 260.5 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 2,625 passing yards in 14 games (just 187.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 191.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 264 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.6 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan has gained 2,379 yards on 213 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — best among P5 defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 2,625 passing yards in 14 games (just 187.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 191.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 264 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.6 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan has gained 2,379 yards on 213 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — best among P5 defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 1,895 yards on 155 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 1,895 yards on 155 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — best among FBS defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

#25 Iowa WRs averaged a touchdown every 35.5 receptions (71 Rec/2 TDs) in the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

#25 Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#25 Iowa TEs have been targeted 86 times on 3rd down since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams

#25 Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

#25 Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 28.0 receptions (84 Rec/3 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.5

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has allowed 34.2 yards per completion (137 yards/4 completions) on 1st down this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 12.1

Western Michigan has allowed 34.2 yards per completion (137 yards/4 completions) on 1st down this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

Western Michigan has allowed 14.4 yards per completion (5,987 yards/417 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 22 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– tied for 27th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Western Michigan has allowed 14.4 yards per completion (5,987 yards/417 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#25 Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 520 carries (130 Carries Per TD) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.5

#25 Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 44 carries (14.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6

#25 Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 44 carries (14.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#25 Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#25 Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 41 carries (13.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7


Bet now on Iowa vs Western Michigan and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.