Western Michigan vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

The American Athletic Conference logo is etched on the field at M&T Bank Stadium before a NCAA college football game between Navy and Notre Dame, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Western Michigan Broncos are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the Rice Owls
  • Western Michigan vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Western Michigan (1-1) visit Rice Stadium to take on Rice (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Western Michigan Broncos are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Rice Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

Bet now on Rice Owls vs Western Michigan Broncos & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Western Michigan vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan-9.5 -11043.5 -108-375
Rice +9.5 -10843.5 -110+300

Western Michigan vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Western Michigan Broncos and the Rice Owls, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Michigan vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Rice Owls vs Western Michigan Broncos and all games with BetMGM


  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Michigan Broncos is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice Owls is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Rice is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.55% ROI
  • Rice is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Rice is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Western Michigan was 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Rice was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Rice was 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Rice was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Rice

Rice’s offense threw for 1,269 passing yards in 13 games (just 97.6 YPG) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 passing yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s QBs threw for 1,261 passing yards in 13 games (just 97.0 YPG) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 passing yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice had just 97.6 receiving yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s QBs threw for 1,939 passing yards in 14 games (just 138.5 YPG) last season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 passing yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan had just 138.5 receiving yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s offense threw for 1,939 passing yards in 14 games (just 138.5 YPG) last season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 passing yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan’s QBs threw for 1,939 passing yards in 14 games (just 138.5 YPG) last season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 passing yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan WRs averaged a touchdown every 28.2 receptions (113 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Western Michigan had just 138.5 receiving yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s offense threw for 1,939 passing yards in 14 games (just 138.5 YPG) last season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense allowed 240.1 passing yards per game last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs had just 99.2 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense allowed 186.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice WRs averaged just 7.9 yards per reception (1,076 yards/136 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Rice RBs averaged 18.6 yards per reception (130 yards/7 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.9

Rice’s offense threw for 1,269 passing yards in 13 games (just 97.6 YPG) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense allowed just 179.9 passing yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (110/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Rice TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (43/387) last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (43/387) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.4

Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

Western Michigan allowed 22 rushing TDs on just 66 carries (3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice intercepted 3 of 375 attempts (125.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8

Rice allowed 8.3 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Rice intercepted 3 of 375 attempts (125.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Rice allowed 8.3 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Rice allowed passes of 40+ yards on 17 of 375 attempts (4%) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%


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