Wisconsin vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2022, 2:17 PM

Wisconsin (5-4) are -1.5 point favorites vs Iowa (5-4)
Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points

The Wisconsin Badgers (6-5) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Iowa City.

– are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Iowa is total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Wisconsin & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Wisconsin vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Wisconsin
Iowa

Wisconsin vs Iowa Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 51.6% confidence.

Wisconsin vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.83 Units / 19% ROI)

Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)

Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.89 Units / 40% ROI)

Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+3.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Wisconsin is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -54.52% ROI
Wisconsin is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wisconsin is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Iowa is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 4.78% ROI
Iowa is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Iowa is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Wisconsin is 8-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .507

Wisconsin is 13-4 (.722) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .492

Wisconsin is 8-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439

Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .578

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Iowa is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439

Iowa is 10-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .544

Iowa is undefeated (11-0) when scoring 22 or more points — best in FBS; Average: .625

Iowa is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .537

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Iowa

Iowa’s WRs have just 88.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — worst among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 125.4 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 16 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — second-fewest among P5 defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 16 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,720 yards on 118 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among Power 5 skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin RBs have averaged 197.8 rushing yards per game (4,153/21) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.1

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 118.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 192.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (30 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (30 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa TEs have been targeted 10.4 times per game (83/8) this season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Iowa TEs have been targeted 26 times on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 11.3 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (54 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 37.1 Passing Attempts per TD (594 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 20.0

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (54 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 29 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 29 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 293 carries (97.7 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.1

Iowa has allowed 4.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,019 yards / 444 touches) this season– best in FBS; Average: 6.8

Iowa has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (11 completions/35 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

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