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Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
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The Wisconsin Badgers (3-4) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (3-4) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in East Lansing.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State is total points.

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Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Wisconsin
Michigan State

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 55.9% confidence.

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.30 Units / 108% ROI)

Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.08 Units / 28% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.64 Units / 42% ROI)

Michigan State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Wisconsin is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Wisconsin is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Wisconsin is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Michigan State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Michigan State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Michigan State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Wisconsin is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .487

Wisconsin is undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Wisconsin is 12-4 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Michigan State is 9-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

Michigan State is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State

Michigan State’s TEs has 23 receptions in 5 games (4.6 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs have 188.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 121.0 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State has 38 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 935 yards on 55 receptions (17.0 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 273 yards on 20 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,309 yards on 86 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 935 yards on 55 receptions (17.0 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s WRs have 188.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 178.1 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has 1.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 45.3 Passing Attempts per TD (453 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.0

Wisconsin has allowed one touchdown on 60 completions this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 12.9

Wisconsin has tackled opponents for a loss on 121 of 523 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 23%

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%

Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State has no interceptions (152 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.4

Michigan State has no interceptions (152 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.0

Opponents have averaged 28.1 completions per game (477 / 17) against Michigan State since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.9

Michigan State has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 106 carries (8.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Opponents have averaged 28.1 completions per game (477 / 17) against Michigan State since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.2

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