Wisconsin vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:25 AM
  • Wisconsin (5-5) are -12.5 point favorites vs Nebraska (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points

The Wisconsin Badgers (6-5) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-8) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lincoln.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Nebraska is total points.

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Wisconsin vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wisconsin
Nebraska

Wisconsin vs Nebraska Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 68.6% confidence.

Wisconsin vs Nebraska Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Nebraska, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+2.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Casey Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Casey Thompson has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.83 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -56.64% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Nebraska is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.4 Units / -81.73% ROI
  • Nebraska is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Nebraska is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Wisconsin is 2-8 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .341

Wisconsin is 8-3 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496

Wisconsin is undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Nebraska is 2-10 (.125) when rushing more than 30 times — 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Nebraska is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Nebraska is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

Nebraska is 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Nebraska

Wisconsin’s WRs has 180 receptions in 22 games (just 8.2 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Power 5 WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has 304 receptions in 22 games (just 13.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Power 5 skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s QBs has rushed for -127 yards on 82 carries (just -1.5 YPC) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense have allowed 4.4 YPC since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin RBs have averaged 107.8 rushing yards per game (2,372/22) in the 1st half since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 64.2

Wisconsin WRs have averaged just 8.2 receptions per game (180/22) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0

Wisconsin RBs have rushed for 1,305 yards in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Wisconsin Skill Players have been targeted 22.5 times per game (496/22) since last season– 2nd lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 30.5

Wisconsin’s WRs has 180 receptions in 22 games (just 8.2 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Power 5 WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9

Nebraska WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Nebraska WRs have averaged 15.4 yards per target (293 yards/19 targets) in close and late situations this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

Nebraska WRs have 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Nebraska WRs have averaged 15.4 yards per target (293 yards/19 targets) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.3

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (56 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 12.0 Passing Attempts per TD (36 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts since last season– best in FBS; Average: 23%

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 38.6 Passing Attempts per TD (617 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.0

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (56 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7

Nebraska has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.3

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs just once on 64 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 107 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 107 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.