Wyoming vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers (3) and wide receiver Xavier Worthy (8) celebrate after they connected on a touchdown pass against Iowa State during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • Texas is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on LHN

The Wyoming Cowboys visit DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Austin.

Texas is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -29.5 (-115).

The Wyoming vs. Texas Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Wyoming vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wyoming+29.5 -10548.5 -110+2000
Texas -29.5 -11548.5 -110-10000

Wyoming vs Texas Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Wyoming vs Texas Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wyoming will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wyoming and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Wyoming has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jordan Whittington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Xavier Worthy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 415% ROI
  • Wyoming is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Wyoming is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 235% ROI
  • Texas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Texas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Wyoming is 10-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .533

Wyoming is undefeated (3-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

#11 Texas is 8-3 (.727) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .441

#11 Texas was 5-3 (.625) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#11 Texas is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .536

#11 Texas is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .414

Matchup Notes for Wyoming vs. Texas

Texas’s QBs has thrown for 668 passing yards in 2 games (334.0 YPG) this season — 14th-best among FBS teams. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 317.5 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas’s offense has thrown for 649 passing yards in 2 games (324.5 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 317.5 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas have 323.0 receiving yards per game this season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 296.0 receiving yards per game this season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 17.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — seventh-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming WRs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 232 yards on 12 receptions (19.3 YPR) this season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed 17.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — seventh-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming TEs have been targeted 6 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas’s QBs has thrown for 668 passing yards in 2 games (334.0 YPG) this season — 14th-best among FBS teams. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 317.5 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

#4 Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#11 Texas RBs averaged 207.1 rushing yards per game (2,278/11) in the 2022 season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8

Texas’s offense has thrown for 649 passing yards in 2 games (324.5 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 317.5 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

#11 Texas WRs caught just 7 of 24 passes(29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

Wyoming allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 50%

Wyoming allowed a passer rating of just 103.3 in the Red Zone (41.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5

Wyoming allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 41 passes (39% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Wyoming has allowed 355.0 Passing Yards per game (355/1) this season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: 223.5

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

#11 Texas has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

#11 Texas allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (14 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 53%

#4 Texas has allowed just 11.1 yards per completion (6,617 yards/598 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 12.7

#4 Texas has allowed just 11.0 yards per completion (3,778 yards/344 completions) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

#4 Texas has allowed 10 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.