Colts vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

min read
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:18 PM
  • The Ravens are -8 point favorites vs the Colts
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (1-1) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (2-0) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Colts vs. Ravens Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

Bet now on Ravens vs Colts & all NFL games with BetMGM

Colts vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colts+8 -11044 -110+300
Ravens -8 -11044 -110-375

Colts vs. Ravens Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 3 game with 81.5% confidence.

Colts vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Ravens vs Colts and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Devin Duvernay has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have scored first in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 12 of their last 19 games (+2.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Colts are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Colts are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Colts are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens went 2-0 (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • Ravens are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 44.25% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Colts are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

The Colts were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Colts were 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Colts are winless (0-4-1) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Ravens are 11-5 (.688) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 35 times since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .304.

The Ravens were 10-7 (.588) in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Ravens are 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .708.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have a third down conversion rate of just 14.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Ravens are 11-5 (.688) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 35 times since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Colts are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on first down since the 2022 season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Colts have a third down conversion rate of just 36.2% in the first half since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.2% in the first half since the 2022 season — second-best in NFL.

Colts WRs have averaged just 3.4 yards after the catch since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 3.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — fifth-best in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats

The Colts committed 32 turnovers in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Colts averaged 12.1 drives per TD in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Colts went three and out 18 times in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Colts converted first downs on just 2 of 26 plays (8%) when their QB was scrambling in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens targeted WRs 41% of the time (198 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens targeted TEs 42% of the time (203 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 39% of the time (214 Pass Attempts/543 plays) since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have a third down conversion rate of 59% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats

The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of 96.2 (536 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.1.

The Colts defense has allowed an average of 1.5 yards after contact per carry (960 carries) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.

The Colts defense has allowed 6 first down receptions on 3rd and long this season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 56% on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

29% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

23% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Ravens defense have forced three and outs on 62% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

24% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Ravens vs Colts and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting.

From future like AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds to weekly betting on spreads, moneylines and parlays, there are thousands of opportunities for all fans.

And with the best sportsbook promos, you can get bigger potential payouts, Bonus Bets and more.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM Sportsbook iOS app or BetMGM Google Play app — to start betting!

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.