- The Browns are -3 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch the game on
Broadcast Channel
The Washington Commanders visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns on Aug. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Browns are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Commanders vs. Browns Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Browns vs Commanders & all NFL games with BetMGM
Commanders vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +3 -115 | 38.5 -110 | +135 |
| Browns | -3 -105 | 38.5 -110 | -160 |
Commanders vs. Browns Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this preseason game with 53.9% confidence.
Commanders vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Browns vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 80% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Commanders went 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.26% ROI).
- Commanders are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 20.09% ROI
- Commanders are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -37.97% ROI
- Commanders are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last NFL season, the Browns went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Browns are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 115% ROI
- Browns are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Browns are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Commanders were 1-6 (.143) whe trailing at the end of the frist half in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .295.
The Commanders are 4-11-1 (.250) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .626.
The Commanders were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Commanders were 6-1 (.857) when leading at the end of the first half in the 2022 season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .701.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Browns were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Browns are winless (0-5) after a road win since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .550.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns ran successful plays on just 38.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL. Commanders allowed successful plays on just 41.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — best in NFL.
Browns TEs had 94 receptions in 17 games (5.5 per game) last season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Jets allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs last season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Browns scored on 8.3% of their drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL.
The Commanders scored on 19.1% of their drives in the first quarter last season — third-worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 21.4% of opponent drives in the first quarter last season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Commanders had a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Browns defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
The Commanders scored on 16.7% of their drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 0% of opponent drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for best in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Commanders have been flagged 27 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Commanders started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Commanders started 20 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out 12 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Browns were sacked on 19% of pass attempts (7/36) in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Commanders defense allowed first downs on 23% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Commanders defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 514 attempts (3%) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.2 (102 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns defense stuffed 44% (4/9) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Browns vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
