Creighton vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 19, 2023, 11:45 AM
  • Baylor (23-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Creighton (22-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Creighton Bluejays (22-12) visit Ball Arena to take on the Baylor Bears (23-10) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Denver.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Creighton vs. Baylor Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Creighton vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Creighton+1.5 -120O 143.5 -110-105
Baylor -1.5 +100U 143.5 -110-115

Creighton vs Baylor Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this March Madness game with 52.4% confidence.

Creighton vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Creighton and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Creighton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Creighton have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Creighton have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Creighton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Creighton has gone 17-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -8.27% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -12.83% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 4.01% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has gone 17-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.69% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.65 Units / -7.31% ROI

Creighton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton has averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Creighton is shooting 47% (623/1,320) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Creighton has averaged 1.29 points per shot (1,701 points/1,320 shots) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Creighton has an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Baylor has attempted 569 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Baylor is shooting 48% from three (13/27) in possessions with at least six passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Creighton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,654 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Creighton has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (644 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Creighton has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Creighton has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,654 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.