- The Blue Jays (69-58) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (55-74)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-6), 4.09 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (9-9), 3.14 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Chicago Cubs (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Cubs vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 54-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-73 ATS.
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -105 | +180 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+19.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 74 games (+18.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 83 games (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 57 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+19.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.70 Units / 35% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 65-62 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -4.33% ROI).
- 54-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 54-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -11.52% ROI
- 64-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 3.52% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-73 against the Run Line (-27.1 Units / -18.13% ROI).
- 67-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.75 Units / -11.78% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.17% ROI
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (17/22) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 4 of 27 right-handed batters (15%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (58/91) against Marcus Stroman this month (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (40/53) against Marcus Stroman this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (444/1,096) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 34% (215/634) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .424 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,214/2,154) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cubs are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cubs are just 9-36 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Cubs are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Cubs are just 18-103 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Blue Jays are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Blue Jays are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Blue Jays are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Blue Jays are just 21-28 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 49 double plays in 350 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 723 strikeouts in 2,909 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .380 (76 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Cubs are batting just .155 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,521 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Blue Jays hitters have just 2,200 strikeouts in 10,879 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,031 of 11,170 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 338 of 4,761 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 811 of 10,677 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Blue Jays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
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