Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:48 AM
  • The Blue Jays (69-58) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (55-74)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-6), 4.09 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (9-9), 3.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Chicago Cubs (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Cubs vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 54-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-73 ATS.

Cubs vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -115O 8 -105+180
Blue Jays -1.5 -105U 8 -115-225

Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+19.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 74 games (+18.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 83 games (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 57 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+19.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.70 Units / 35% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 65-62 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -4.33% ROI).

  • 54-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -11.15% ROI
  • 54-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -11.52% ROI
  • 64-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 3.52% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-73 against the Run Line (-27.1 Units / -18.13% ROI).

  • 67-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.75 Units / -11.78% ROI
  • 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.55% ROI
  • 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.17% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (17/22) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 4 of 27 right-handed batters (15%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (58/91) against Marcus Stroman this month (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (40/53) against Marcus Stroman this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (444/1,096) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 34% (215/634) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .424 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,214/2,154) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cubs are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 9-36 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Cubs are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Cubs are just 18-103 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Blue Jays are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Blue Jays are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Blue Jays are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Blue Jays are just 21-28 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 49 double plays in 350 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 723 strikeouts in 2,909 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .380 (76 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .650.

The Cubs are batting just .155 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,521 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Blue Jays hitters have just 2,200 strikeouts in 10,879 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,031 of 11,170 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 338 of 4,761 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 811 of 10,677 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.