- The Twins are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-140) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 21-19 ATS.
Cubs vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -190 | +115 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 9 +155 | -140 |
Cubs vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+17.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+11.55 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Twins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Louie Varland | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 22-17 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 10.68% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.12% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 21-19 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 4.67% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -16.67% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 7.74% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has walked 11 of 46 batters (24%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (40/65) against Marcus Stroman this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed an OPS of just .548 (186 PA’s) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .697 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .239 (21-for-88) against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Louie Varland has a strike rate of 69% (182/265) this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 91st Percentile.
5 of Louie Varland’s 20 strikeouts (25%) have come on cutters this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of Louie Varland’s pitches (137/265) this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 91st Percentile.
Louie Varland has 8 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 9th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are just 1-87 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 25-37 (.403) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are 37-35 (.514) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are just 13-19 (.406) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are just 5-18 (.217) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 14-34 (.292) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Twins are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
The Twins are 5-3 (.625) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (689 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Cubs are batting .279 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Cubs are batting .285 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Cubs have scored first in 100% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .274 (303 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Twins are batting just .198 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Twins are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters are slugging just .215 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 25 of 351 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 25 of 462 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
Bet now on Cubs vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
