The Dallas Cowboys (8-4) look to widen their two-game lead in the NFC East this weekend as they travel to play the Washington Football Team (6-6). After a Week 1 loss, Dallas won six straight games and looked like one of the most dominant teams in football.
After their winning streak, the Cowboys are just 2-3 in the past five games. However, against Washington this weekend, NFL betting lines have Dallas as 4-point favorites on the road. Keep reading as I analyze the Cowboys scoring trends over the past five games.
Offense Receiving Much Needed Rest
After playing three games in just 12 days, the Cowboys will be beneficiaries of a few extra days of rest heading into Week 14. This rest will be necessary for players like Ezekiel Elliott, who has been managing and playing through a knee injury for several weeks.
This extra time should also help Dallas find more chemistry on the offensive side of the football.
Despite ranking as one of the best offenses in the NFL this year, the Cowboys have entered very few games this season at full strength. Elliott, though not missing a game yet in 2021, has been on a limited snap count since early November. In addition, receivers CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Michael Gallup have all missed games this year and have rarely played together at the same time.
Over the past five weeks, Dallas scored 25.6 points per game, down from over 32 per game in the first seven weeks of the season. The absence of Lamb, Cooper, and Gallup during stretches of their past five games has undoubtedly limited the efficiency of the Dallas offensive attack.
Dallas Cowboys Scoring Trends
The Cowboys currently rank as the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, behind just the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A large part of their offensive success is due to Dallas’s balanced attack.
Ranked top six in passing and rushing yards per game, this Dallas team can throw the ball around and run it with the best of the best.
Cowboys vs. WFT
Awaiting the Cowboys this Sunday is the red-hot Washington Football Team, who are winners of four straight games. After a 2-6 start to their 2021 campaign, the WFT has put together an impressive string of defensive performances of late, holding their past four opponents to a stingy 17.5 points per game.
Unfortunately for Washington, I believe the Cowboys’ rested offense will be too much for the WTF defense to handle. Though ranked in the top three in rushing defense, Washington’s 30th rated passing defense will be heavily tested against the Cowboys’ 4th best passing offense.
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Ultimately, I’m picking the Dallas Cowboys to win and cover the 4-point spread this weekend and put an end to the Washington win streak. While I expect the WFT defense to keep the game close, I trust Dak Prescott and the Dallas offense more than Taylor Heinicke in this crucial divisional battle.
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