- The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Athletics starting pitcher: Drew Rucinski
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+165) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Diamondbacks vs Athletics Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 23-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 16-26 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -125 | O 9 -115 | -200 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 9 -105 | +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rucinski | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +140 |
| Merrill Kelly | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 23-18 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 8.19% ROI).
- 23-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 14.49% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 2.64% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -10.8% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 16-26 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -27.01% ROI).
- 9-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.85 Units / -44.72% ROI
- 26-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 19.6% ROI
- 15-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -28.87% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has walked 13 of 88 right-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (118/179) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .191 (13 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly had a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (9/23) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rucinski has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 28th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 10.
Drew Rucinski has not struck out any hitters in 21 PA’s with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Drew Rucinski has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 73 PAs) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 42% of Drew Rucinski’s pitches (109/261) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Diamondbacks are just 34-27 (.557) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Diamondbacks are 7-7 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-13 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Athletics are just 9-33 (.214) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 189 strikeouts in 1,022 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,472 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,696 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.27 (369.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Athletics pitchers have walked 204 of 1,732 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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