- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Diamondbacks vs Athletics Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 24-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 16-27 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +100 | O 9 +100 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -120 | +130 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Tommy Henry | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 24-18 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 9.85% ROI).
- 24-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 15.79% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -8.36% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 16-27 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -28.48% ROI).
- 9-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.85 Units / -46% ROI
- 26-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 16.98% ROI
- 16-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -26.02% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .625 (10-for-16) against Tommy Henry on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .355 — second Percentile.
Tommy Henry has a strikeout rate of just 10% (9 SO in 93 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Tommy Henry has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (29/58) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Tommy Henry has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to April 29th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 6.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Kyle Muller’s 16 breaking pitch strikeouts (44%) have been backdoor this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .576 (19-for-33) against Kyle Muller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Muller has allowed an OBP of .610 (41 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against Kyle Muller on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Diamondbacks are just 85-7 (.924) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 20-10 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Diamondbacks are 17-1 (.944) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Diamondbacks are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 191 strikeouts in 1,051 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .270 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,729 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,502 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,502 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 28 of 476 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 210 of 1,774 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.73 (166.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.21 (378.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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