- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Athletics Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 24-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 17-27 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -110 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 -110 | +130 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.85 Units / 98% ROI)
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Luis Medina | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 24-19 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 7.83% ROI).
- 24-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 12.42% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 2.42% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -10.5% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 17-27 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -25.84% ROI).
- 10-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -41.9% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 18.64% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -27.72% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .370 (27-for-73) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 9% (8/86) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .274 (23-for-84) against Ryne Nelson with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (45 Total Bases / 73 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — third Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has a strike rate of just 57% (50/87) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Luis Medina did not walk any of the 23 batters that he faced — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Medina had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (12/23) — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (12/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Diamondbacks are just 20-11 (.645) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Diamondbacks are just 70-19 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are just 85-7 (.924) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 3% of PA’s since last season (191/7,571) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .208 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against starting pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 199 strikeouts in 1,082 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,784 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .612 (3,784 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Athletics are batting just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.18 (390.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.73 (166.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Athletics pitchers have walked 214 of 1,829 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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