Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 11:32 AM
  • The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen, 18.00 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob Latz, 5.06 ERA

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-6 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -175O 11.5 -110+105
Rangers -1.5 +145U 11.5 -110-125

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 151 games (+9.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -11.74% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -17.01% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.49% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -10.88% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -2.21% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -18.57% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 34.21% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -42.64% ROI

Opponents batted just .186 (121-for-651) against Zac Gallen last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OPS of just .751 (99 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — 97th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OBP of just .252 (713 PA’s) last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.