- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen, 18.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob Latz, 5.06 ERA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 6-6 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 11.5 -110 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | U 11.5 -110 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 151 games (+9.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -11.74% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -17.01% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -10.88% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -2.21% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -18.57% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 34.21% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -42.64% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .186 (121-for-651) against Zac Gallen last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen allowed an OPS of just .751 (99 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — 97th Percentile.
Zac Gallen allowed an OBP of just .252 (713 PA’s) last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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