- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 16-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 16-12 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -155 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +125 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.55 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+8.10 Units / 81% ROI)
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Jon Gray | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 17-12 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 11.1% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 19.31% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.78% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -7.06% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 9.48% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 9.21% ROI
- 17-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 19.16% ROI
- 10-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -28.59% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .167 (66 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 74% (23 SO in 31 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count since last season (tied for third highest among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has struck out 41% (27/66) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (4/29) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has struck out just 5% (1/21) of left-handed batters he faced — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .282 (33 Total Bases / 117 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 98th Percentile.
Jon Gray has struck out just 11% (6/55) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 103-33 (.757) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Diamondbacks are just 114-23 (.832) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 70-12 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 31-164 (.159) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 36-33 (.522) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Rangers are just 1-90 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rangers are just 70-13 (.843) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 18 walks in 368 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,057 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Rangers have scored 80 runs with two outs this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Rangers hitters are slugging .432 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rangers hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 77 of 1,011 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 658 of 7,178 batters (9%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 159 of 1,689 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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